The PNA should enter the positive phase by the first week or two of December, fitting in with what I have shown with Siberia and the Rossby waves. If I extrapolate (use observations to forecast the future) this Rossby wave pattern, this bad pattern in the East will end in the first couple weeks of December, as the pattern shuts down and moves on elsewhere. The National Weather Service Moves to a New Global Model: Will It Do it Right? The announcement last week was that the National Weather Service picked the FV-3. This week the National Weather Service (NWS) made an important announcement: its decision for the dynamical core of its new global model, the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Lab (GFDL) FV-3. At the same time, they turned down the global model developed by the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) called MPAS (NCAR is the combined entity of the academic research community of the U.S., representing over 100 college and universities). Logistic regression models for wheat Fusarium head blight were developed using information collected at 50 location-years, including four states, representing three different U.S. A reasonable analog is the chassis of a a car, including the frame and engine (see below).

Although it is perhaps 25% of what makes up a modern car, the chassis does serve as the frame on which everything else is mounted and connected. But the decision, good or bad, has been made, and as noted above, the dynamical core is perhaps 25% of a modern modeling system. It was designed for low-resolution weather prediction and does not scale well on modern supercomputers (which can have tens or hundreds of thousands of processors). But just as important, picking MPAS would have brought the research and NOAA/NWS efforts together, and I believe the lack of nation cooperation is one of the key reasons US operational NWP is lagging. It is clear that NOAA/NWS needs to open up the planning process to include the research community, the private sector, and others. NOAA/NWS could continue and expand its research funding of advances that support the new system and hopefully NSF could help support associated basic research. After introducing the basic idea behind electronic beam steering, the needs for frequent observations of convective weather are explained. ESRL, with considerable personnel in model development and basic physics, is found in Boulder. Specifically, NOAA must make the model development a cooperative national effort.

Some recomendations on the route the NWS must take if it wants to develop a world class global modeling system. EMC scientists in DC could work on the new system components, complete pre-operational testing, and take on key tasks such as improving quality control. The range and amount of data assimilated into GFS forecasts is less than leading centers (such as the European Center) and the quality control system lags. The general U.S. population finally understood the situation when important forecasts by the GFS (e.g., Hurricane Sandy) were clearly inferior to those of the European Center and UKMET office. Let me be clear: FV-3 is far, far better than the current GFS model and the handiwork of a very talented numerical modeler, S.J. PNA wintertime months far fewer Dry Polar days are observed. FV-3 is far more conventional that MPAS in structure (e.g., it has grids, not the hexagonal elements of MPAS) and its compromises make it faster at the same grid spacing. And if future testing supports the superiority of MPAS, its dynamical core could be switched for FV-3.

Predictive astrology, also called forecasting, Interprets future cycles and possible future events through methods using the present placement of the planets, called astrology transits, as well as symbolic timing methods such as secondary progressions, solar arc directions and planetary returns. There are a lot of end-users in the world who are using Android O.S. I feel like the recent models are also counting this factor in, but the big question is where the snow will fall. In this case, when geomagnetic activity goes up, the PNA index tends to go more negative, and we are already seeing this and will continue to see this in coming weeks. It is important for you to know the weather patterns of Bermuda if you are planning to visit the island. They have done a bit of this with the NCAR UCACN and UMAC committees, but they need to take the planning process to a completely different level in detail, vision, and inclusion.

The most important service you should perform on your car is to change the tires, if there is a need to do so. The National Weather Service needs a plan to complete the remaining 75% of the new global modeling system and to ensure that it is state-of-the-art and STAYS state-of-the-art. The history of the past few decades is clear: when the National Weather Service develops models in house without the entrainment of the outside community, the models are inevitably not state of the science. These carriers are made up of metal or plastic and are of light weight. Several such systems, however, need a bridge of some sort which serves as a connection with the Wi-Fi router and conveys data to a receiver on the smart light. Actually, they need TWO plans: a broad strategic plan on where they are going during the next ten years, and a shorter term implementation plan for the next few years. They don’t have a plan at this point and need to put it together immediately. The easy recipe follows and chances are you already have the ingredients in the pantry.