The ability and knowledge of the Samoans to forecast the onset of extreme weather and climate events, relying predominantly on local environmental changes are vital tools that should be incorporated in the formulation of human induced climate change adaptation strategies. For the ‘motifs only’ method, only allergen motifs were used for allergenicity prediction, without a local similarity search as in step two of motif-based method. Let’s begin by looking over all years that placed into at least two of the categories that I outlined above. The image above shows a composite of all the years that fit into at least two of the outlined categories. Since that forecast was made, at least 5 other GFS runs came in with very similar solutions, meaning this could be a valid storm potential. There is the potential for significant damaging wind tomorrow in the Northeast, leading the Storm Prediction Center to include a moderate risk for much of the area I outlined in pink. The latest NAM model is projecting strong to severe thunderstorms to fire along an advancing cold front in the Northeast and Ohio Valley tomorrow.

Looking at the latest runs, I believe it will be too warm for snow in Seattle and that the powerful easterlies will dry things out enough to lessen the snow chances near sea level around the Seattle Metro area. We still see dominant high pressure out near the Bering Sea. The above image shows sea level pressure anomalies on the morning of January 24th, 2011. On this day, we saw a storm system cross Japan and rapidly strengthen as it began to exit the eastern coast of this country. This composite, showing the same years as the one in the first composite year, but now projecting temperature anomalies at the surface, tells me we can also expect more than a few instances of the northwest flow regime. If you think you can sit and ponder over knowing yourself then it is not possible. It may then still not be possible to express these principles as mathematical equations which can be solved by digital computers. It takes knowing the facts to make a bet that will be profitable, and with the right knowledge, season after season, you can be a winner. In some lowland locations there will be not a single flake, while 20-30 miles away nearly a foot could snarl traffic.

So, it looks like the best chance for some meaningful precipitation in quite a long while. Imagine being in IOWA or KANSAS where you could drive for hours and barely notice a chance in the weather. If you scrolled down to see my severe weather season map and summary, STOP here! With the weather settling down to be all pleasant outside, what more would a couple want but to kindle their love in the most romantic way ever. The loss of lives is one way Satan is a form of end-time deception. We searched all genes from 34 bacterial and archaeal genomes against one another using BLASTP (14,15), considering only genes with an E-value less than 10-5 as possible homologs. I can remember as a child seeing one of these machines on Brighton pier many moons ago. If you observe the digits drawn in the pick 4 games, you can see that it will be a mixture between hot, cold and medium digits. This sort of set-up tells me we’d be looking at a lot of cold air available for severe weather events, as well as abundant warm air from the south.

This cold front appears to ignite a long stretch of several strong to severe thunderstorm clusters along the mentioned regions. This pattern actually tells me the severe weather season might be a little quieter than initially projected. • I colored in the New England area for a quieter than normal severe weather season. Huge weather contrasts will occur tomorrow over the lowlands. Christmas Storm 2012 will strike tomorrow. At 10 AM tomorrow a low center will be parked off our coast, precipitation will be moving in over the region, and a very large pressure difference will develop over the Cascades. This sort of pattern would likely produce a few instances of zonal flow, where we don’t see any prominent high or low pressure systems- just plain west-to-east flow, nothing exciting. This sort of analog composite really fits the typical storm that favors tornadoes in Tornado Alley. If you take a look at that Tornado Alley graphic we looked at a little bit up from here, the jet stream is outlined as diving south through the Southwest before shooting north again as it enters the Plains. Take a look at the deep negative temperature anomalies out West.

This image shows 500mb height anomalies for my five preferred analog years. However, considering this map is made of five years of data averaged out, I’m not too concerned about that prospect for zonal flow ruining the season. Not only are users rewarded by seeing that their data are actually being ingested, but they report an overall increased interest in weather and the project by simply watching the reports as they come in and change with time. EVA has so far collected data for more than 3000 protein chains. At this point in the game, I’m thinking much of the Northeast goes without more than a handful severe weather events this season, but it’s the far Northeast I think will see the brunt of this quiet severe weather season. While this model remains inconsistent as far as showing this storm run-after-run, the general concept of a storm in this timeframe is still present (for now). We still see the general southwest flow regime outlined in my preferred analog set, with some troughing along the West Coast, and a stronger Southeast Ridge in place.